CaptJCool
Established Member
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- May 31, 2012
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Nope, this analysis is biased, he says so himself.According to one Unsuccessful Tory if the Brexit party had not run at all the Tories may have won another 34 seats from Labor.
The Brexit Party actually saved the Labour Party from annihilation last week in places like Sunderland | BrexitCentral
Last Thursday was a dreadful day for the Labour Party – but it could and should have been far, far worse. There are 34 seats where the Brexit Party vote was larger than the margin of Conservative Party loss. In other words, 34 Labour MPs have survived thanks to Nigel Farage. Those Labour MPs who …brexitcentral.com
Because Labor had a bigger buffer than everywhere else, his lady opponent survived. In Seats of smaller buffers,the vote splitting by Lab voters to the Brexit party delivered the “red wall” seats to the Cons. (Sure, some small swings to Cons)
In 2015 in this seat, the Con received 18%, in 2017, 29% when the UKIP vote collapsed and returned to the Cons. In 2019, he started 30% behind the Lab MP and that kind of swing was never likely. A ‘delusional’ loser?