US election 2020

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Interesting view of the the electoral demographics.....try not to read too much into who is winning what, but might show how white not college educated may be different and a few other demographics

Analysis: How Biden is pressing a two-front war against Trump

Joe Biden has described himself as a "bridge" between the Democrats' current and future generations of leaders. But he may also be a bridge between its present and future on the electoral map.

edition.cnn.com

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

Must be demographics day ...another article

A Big Chunk Of People Of Color And White People With Degrees Are Behind Trump

The overarching story of recent American elections is that 1) voters of color, who have long been Democratic-leaning, are a growing share of the electorate; 2) …

fivethirtyeight.com

 

[p--and--t]

I thought the NY prosecutors had shut down Trump's pretend charity that he used to siphon tax free money to his 2016 campaign.

Surprised he is considering using his own real money in 2020. Couldn't possibly be a lie could it?

Donald Trump prepared to spend 'whatever it takes' on re-election bid

The comments came after reports emerged showing his campaign team had blown the huge cash advantage it once held over Democratic rival Joe Biden.

www.theage.com.au

 

[TheRealTMA]

I thought the NY prosecutors had shut down Trump's pretend charity that he used to siphon tax free money to his 2016 campaign.

Surprised he is considering using his own real money in 2020. Couldn't possibly be a lie could it?

Donald Trump prepared to spend 'whatever it takes' on re-election bid

The comments came after reports emerged showing his campaign team had blown the huge cash advantage it once held over Democratic rival Joe Biden.

www.theage.com.au

Rhetorical?

 

[Cruiser Elite]

The ‘money men’ have had a bit of a change of heart - to win:


Debates:



Popular vote winner:





Odds courtesy Sportsbet - although what goes up can come down of course

 

[tomlee1986]

The ‘money men’ have had a bit of a change of heart - to win:

View attachment 227164
Debates:

View attachment 227163

Popular vote winner:



View attachment 227162

Odds courtesy Sportsbet - although what goes up can come down of course

as i said before... next 2 months will have twists and turns like no other, and share markets tends to do its own thing to add a hurdle or 2 in October - share markets tend to have issues in october every year... hope I am wrong but it is common

 

[get me outta here]

Seeing as he is still advising people to vote twice, which is illegal in every State, anything could happen re numbers.

 

[TheRealTMA]

Seeing as he is still advising people to vote twice, which is illegal in every State, anything could happen re numbers.

Remember the old Australian saying “vote early, vote often!”

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

The ‘money men’ have had a bit of a change of heart - to win:

View attachment 227164
Debates:

View attachment 227163

Popular vote winner:



View attachment 227162

Odds courtesy Sportsbet - although what goes up can come down of course

TAB technically has Trump as favourite right now at 1.87, but it also has residual (VP back ups) and not nominated candidates.

Almost time to get on Biden if you already had a heap on Trump....lol Futures market on 2 outcome races are a great way to make money haha

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

I don’t think this revelation will change any voters’ minds (hence the election result) at this juncture. But I do wonder why the journalist was sitting on these tapes for so long.....to sell a book??

Trump’s virus bomshell caught on tape

US President Donald Trump knew the coronavirus crisis was deadlier than the flu but “wanted to always play it down”, according to a new book by investigative journalist Bob Woodward.

www.news.com.au

 

[tomlee1986]

I don’t think this revelation will change any voters’ minds (hence the election result) at this juncture. But I do wonder why the journalist was sitting on these tapes for so long.....to sell a book??

Trump’s virus bomshell caught on tape

US President Donald Trump knew the coronavirus crisis was deadlier than the flu but “wanted to always play it down”, according to a new book by investigative journalist Bob Woodward.

www.news.com.au

I think Americans would be more concerned on economy, jobs and how to recover from Covid... not how it occurred at the first place

 

[TheRealTMA]

I don’t think this revelation will change any voters’ minds (hence the election result) at this juncture. But I do wonder why the journalist was sitting on these tapes for so long.....to sell a book??

Trump’s virus bomshell caught on tape

US President Donald Trump knew the coronavirus crisis was deadlier than the flu but “wanted to always play it down”, according to a new book by investigative journalist Bob Woodward.

www.news.com.au

Probably they were embargoed until pre-release publication.

 

[CaptJCool]

Must be demographics day ...another article

A Big Chunk Of People Of Color And White People With Degrees Are Behind Trump

The overarching story of recent American elections is that 1) voters of color, who have long been Democratic-leaning, are a growing share of the electorate; 2) …

fivethirtyeight.com

This article filled in a couple of the missing pieces for me but really confirmed that which group of punters vote really does matter.

In a voluntary voting system, first past the post, it really does matter if there’s a candidate on your side of politics that splits your vote. And it also matters that your supporters go and vote.

Regardless of the national polls, it is a state based election structure so you gotta delve into the detail of each states voter demographics. That suggests Trump has a better chance of winning than what the national polls expose, as other than Maine he doesn’t need to carry most House of Reps district just the overall state tally.

I’m still expecting a re-run of 2016, but of course a few thousand morecor less would swing the result one or the other

 

[p--and--t]

Looks like the house has had a severe set back in continuing to investigate the ongoing shady stuff going on under the covers until there is a change of POTUS at a minimum.

What Trump's big win over the House of Representatives means | CNN Politics

A federal appeals court this week neutered the Democratic-led House of Representatives' ability to enforce its subpoenas of witnesses, giving the Trump administration an upper hand over congressional investigations in the next several months.

edition.cnn.com

 

[dajop]

Looks like the house has had a severe set back in continuing to investigate the ongoing shady stuff going on under the covers until there is a change of POTUS at a minimum.

I'm not sure what the upside in the ongoing Democrat investigations into Trump is, for the Democrats. They all seem to spectacularly backfire, politically. They feed into people's belief that they represent the deep state and Trump is the outsider. Their actions might well have Dem supporters cheer them on, but to Trump leaning fence sitters they just reek of the Swamp. Or is just this partisan litigious sort of politics is so foreign to our form of democracy in Australia, that it's difficult to understand what advantage it brings at the ballot box?

 

[p--and--t]

I'm not sure what the upside in the ongoing Democrat investigations into Trump is, for the Democrats. They all seem to spectacularly backfire, politically. They feed into people's belief that they represent the deep state and Trump is the outsider. Their actions might well have Dem supporters cheer them on, but to Trump leaning fence sitters they just reek of the Swamp. Or is just this partisan litigious sort of politics is so foreign to our form of democracy in Australia, that it's difficult to understand what advantage it brings at the ballot box?

Yep, so many people in the trenches, so many (including in the middle) not listening to either side, so many quirks and twists and turns. Fascinating to watch, glad I'm not there.

*spectacular fail at trying to impeach Trump IMHO

 

[HappyFlyerFamily]

A convoluted article (ie I learnt nothing and to me it’s badly written).....more to give an insight to US politics for anyone interested.

What happened to Trump’s $800 million?

A few months ago, US President Donald Trump had one massive, indisputable advantage over his election opponent, Joe Biden.

www.news.com.au

 

[dajop]

A convoluted article (ie I learnt nothing and to me it’s badly written).....more to give an insight to US politics for anyone interested.

The amount of money that goes into the presidential campaign is quite astonishing. It's hard to get an exact figure, but $2b doesn't seem wide of the mark. Adjusted for population, that's equivalent to around $215m AUD for the Australian population. References that I read relating to the 2019 Australian federal election suggested ALP and LP/NP spent about $15m each (I'm not sure if that's accurate, it sounds a bit on the low side) , with a further atypical spend of $60m by Clive Palmer - that total's about $90m.

 

[TheRealTMA]

The amount of money that goes into the presidential campaign is quite astonishing. It's hard to get an exact figure, but $2b doesn't seem wide of the mark. Adjusted for population, that's equivalent to around $215m AUD for the Australian population. References that I read relating to the 2019 Australian federal election suggested ALP and LP/NP spent about $15m each (I'm not sure if that's accurate, it sounds a bit on the low side) , with a further atypical spend of $60m by Clive Palmer - that total's about $90m.

Yes it’s quite rediculous the amount they spend. Advertising and promo companies make a killing.

I’d prefer if there were tighter limits on spend in Australia and ban on last minute attack ads from people such as Palmer etc.

 

[mel-world]

An interesting article explaining why Trump will likely win. A quick look at the comments shows how divided the country is.

NYT Article. Who Can Win America’s Politics of Humiliation?