We really need to split the states into two groups though. The smaller states honestly should be a slam dunk and have no bearing to the national overall number.
Group 1: NSW, VIC and QLD.
NSW is fine because of the enormous outbreak and people racing to save themselves. VIC is still performing strongly and I take heart they are trying lots of different things. Their CHO has much better relations with the state especially the young, they listen to him and turned out in droves to ignore ATAGI. The big big issue is QLD for all the reasons we’ve discussed on here repeatedly, poor messaging, dreadful leadership and a woeful health department. We also have huge regional geographic and vulnerable population spread.
Group 2: The rest.
The issue state is going to be WA. I know SA is fussing along but I think they will walk backwards over the line without too much cajoling when they see VIC beating them
. WA is just a disaster and I honestly wouldn’t know even where to start with them, mess of health system, a MIA CHO who no one knows let alone listens to, some real quacks in the local AMA branch who have confused the 2 good local doctors
and a Premier who is so so far behind the 8-ball on vaccinations he could go and run NZ!