Katie, the problem will be tomorrows two tides, the first I think is midday.
Bundaberg and the Burnett River is the big concern at the moment, along with the Mary River in Gympie.
Laidley in the Lockyer Valley has already flooded, courtesy of the rain coming downstream from Toowoomba. That water will hit Ipswich (the Bremmer River) this afternoon and flow into the Brisbane River tomorrow - thus the midday tide will be concerning.
What Mr Katie and I call the high high tides of the next two days will be a concern (there are two high tides and two low tides each day, and one of the high tides is typically 10-40cm higher than the other). But today's high high tide was lower than the peaks reached in Windsor today, at least for our old street. At about 8:30am I could drive through the street, there was no water at the front of our old house, and high tide should have hit the area around 10:30/11. By 11:30, the water was going down, but there was water at the front of the old house, but you could walk along the middle of the road without getting your feet wet.
Windsor flooding is much more affected by the flow down Enggera Ck from its catchment area. The worst flood while we loved there was in May 2009, nowhere near Jan king tides and due to heavy rainfall for the two-three days before flooding. Brisbane river didn't flood then, and Wndsor was nowhere near as bad in 2011 as it was in 2009 (09 we had 1.4m of water through the bottom of the house, only .4m in 11).
I'm not saying I think the city has had the worst, but I
think for Windsor last night was the peak. Unless it starts raining in Brissie again or raining in the catchment. There will still be rising water around the high tides for the next two days, but if the flow from Enoggera creek catchment is slowing, then probably the peak has been reached for that location.
And I'm not going to buy into what some are suggesting that all the flooding since 2008 has been caused by or exacerbated by the ICB!! Although the timing does line up ...
